Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:49:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa3e8…5289
sports · 228 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$665 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$665 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$665
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses144 / 84
Est. fees paid−$175
Open positions0
Markets (closed)228 / 228
History coverage59d
Avg bet$89
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 228 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$475
7 days−$3,452
14 days−$3,148
30 days−$2,254
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Under 62¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 69¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 50¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Weibo Gaming Youth Team 77¢ 0¢ $396 $0 −$396 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Yes 38¢ 0¢ $164 $0 −$164 (-100%)
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner XLG Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 Yes 51¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $38 −$38 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $115 +$122 +106%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $167 −$164 -98%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G Jun 11 $399 −$396 -99%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 Jun 10 $109 −$108 -99%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 10 $85 +$24 +29%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $60 −$60 -99%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $44 +$17 +38%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $41 −$40 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $98 +$22 +23%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $299 +$72 +24%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $12 −$12 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $62 +$20 +32%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $18 −$18 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Jun 09 $75 −$75 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 09 $45 −$45 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner Jun 09 $88 −$88 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $79 −$79 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 09 $51 −$51 -100%
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff Jun 09 $56 −$56 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $101 −$101 -100%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 09 $81 −$81 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 09 $77 −$77 -100%
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs Leviatán Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $107 −$107 -100%
LoL: 7REX vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $14 −$14 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 09 $20 −$20 -100%
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) Jun 09 $34 −$34 -100%
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) Jun 09 $39 −$39 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $45 −$45 -100%
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $49 −$49 -100%
LoL: T1 Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers Leag Jun 09 $49 −$49 -100%
LoL: Citadel Gaming vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $51 −$51 -100%
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs Jun 09 $51 −$51 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $57 −$57 -100%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Jun 09 $51 −$51 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Jun 09 $115 −$115 -100%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Jun 09 $121 −$121 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $115 −$115 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $199 −$199 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs Jun 09 $202 −$202 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $277 −$277 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Jun 09 $310 −$310 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 09 $190 −$190 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs Jun 09 $618 −$618 -100%
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5) Jun 09 $16 +$6 +40%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $16 −$1 -3%
Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Top Esports Challenger (+1.5) Jun 09 $16 +$5 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$791
other 1% +$120
crypto 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Under 62¢ $38 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $237 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $115 3h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $167 33h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G BUY Weibo Gaming Youth Team 77¢ $399 46h
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 BUY Yes 51¢ $109 2d
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA SELL LOS 99¢ $110 2d
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA BUY LOS 76¢ $85 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 69¢ $60 2d
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 100¢ $60 2d
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 72¢ $44 2d
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 50¢ $41 2d
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C SELL G2 NORD 100¢ $120 2d
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner SELL G2 NORD 100¢ $372 2d
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 80¢ $299 2d
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 81¢ $98 2d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 35¢ $12 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL Monte 100¢ $82 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 75¢ $62 3d
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5) SELL T1 Academy 100¢ $23 3d
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage BUY Verdant 51¢ $16 3d
Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Top Esports Challenger (+1.5) BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 74¢ $16 3d
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5) BUY T1 Academy 71¢ $16 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5 SELL Over 100¢ $682 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5 BUY Over 64¢ $439 4d
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 66¢ $57 4d
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 73¢ $199 5d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 56¢ $77 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 99¢ $276 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 72¢ $202 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -60.2% -64.0% 26% 26% -61.9%
≤30d 80 -30.4% -37.0% 48% 48% -31.8%
≤90d 228 +1.5% -8.2% 63% 62% -12.5%
all 228 +1.5% -8.2% 63% 62% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.2% 62% -12.5%
10% -17.0% 55% -20.9%
15% -25.0% 39% -28.5%
20% -32.4% 22% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 492 history records