trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 9 | +35.9% | +23.0% | 67% | 67% | +8.8% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +64.8% | +49.1% | 58% | 58% | +40.7% |
| all | 29 | +52.1% | +37.6% | 52% | 52% | +21.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +37.6% | 52% | +21.4% |
| 10% | +24.5% | 48% | +9.8% |
| 15% | +12.4% | 48% | -0.8% |
| 20% | +1.4% | 48% | -10.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 7¢ | $2,453 | $1,722 | −$731 (-30%) |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27? | Yes | 76¢ | 62¢ | $600 | $495 | −$105 (-18%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $470 | $450 | −$20 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | Jun 14 | $507 | +$438 | +86% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $1,492 | −$1,480 | -99% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on | Jun 12 | $1,410 | +$1,092 | +78% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Jun 12 | $1,864 | +$205 | +11% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $498 | −$489 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $597 | +$1,159 | +194% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $599 | +$988 | +165% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $797 | −$779 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | May 25 | $628 | +$561 | +89% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | May 20 | $657 | +$689 | +105% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $635 | +$1,022 | +161% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $496 | −$484 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $500 | −$489 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | May 05 | $497 | −$486 | -98% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | Apr 29 | $306 | +$764 | +249% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Sco | Apr 29 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $780 | +$887 | +114% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $600 | +$1,179 | +197% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 24 | $1,000 | +$893 | +89% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Apr 22 | $500 | +$3,168 | +634% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 22 | $250 | +$689 | +275% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Apr 22 | $237 | −$237 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Apr 22 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 22 | $289 | −$289 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | Apr 22 | $498 | −$498 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $600 | +$2,029 | +338% |
| Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Feb 26 | $702 | −$415 | -59% |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | Feb 26 | $2,020 | −$2,017 | -100% |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | Feb 26 | $600 | −$86 | -14% |