Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:56:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa3cb…2526
crypto · 654 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,879 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,879 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,879
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses317 / 337
Open positions0
Markets (closed)654 / 654
History coverage24d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day119.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 654 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$893
7 days−$1,652
14 days−$1,843
30 days−$1,879
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $123 −$75 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$16 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$8 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$25 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$10 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$20 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$21 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$10 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$9 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$9 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$7 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $347 −$307 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$12 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$7 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$15 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$13 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$41 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $155 −$51 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $85 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$18 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$12 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $140 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $168 −$144 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,879
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $20 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $21 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $7 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $13 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $18 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 301 -18.2% -26.0% 43% 29% -18.8%
≤30d 654 -8.5% -17.2% 48% 35% -15.1%
≤90d 654 -8.5% -17.2% 48% 35% -15.1%
all 654 -8.5% -17.2% 48% 35% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover119.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 35% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 25% -23.2%
15% -32.4% 19% -30.6%
20% -39.0% 14% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records