Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:03:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa3b4…88df
sports · 390 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$158 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$175 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$103
Realized−$175
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses168 / 194
Est. fees paid−$45
Open positions28
Markets (closed)362 / 390
History coverage2d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day505.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 28 History 362 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$175
7 days−$175
14 days−$175
30 days−$175
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) 9z 32¢ 100¢ $3 $10 +$7 (+212%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 67¢ 86¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+28%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 65¢ 62¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-4%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 65¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+54%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Team Liquid 90¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+11%)
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Morocco 98¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 87¢ 96¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+10%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 65¢ 88¢ $3 $5 +$1 (+36%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Under 49¢ 92¢ $2 $5 +$2 (+89%)
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) Kansas City Royals 85¢ 84¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 Under 50¢ 80¢ $3 $4 +$2 (+59%)
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Kansas City Royals 72¢ 79¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+10%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 Under 44¢ 71¢ $2 $4 +$1 (+61%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Over 61¢ 67¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+10%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 60¢ 64¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+8%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 Under 49¢ 62¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+27%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 Over 37¢ 38¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 53¢ 54¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Over 41¢ 46¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+11%)
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5) Indiana Fever 52¢ 38¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-27%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 33¢ 36¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 Over 53¢ 29¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-45%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Over 45¢ 32¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-29%)
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Milwaukee Brewers 41¢ 29¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-29%)
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5) Kansas City Royals 24¢ 24¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$3 +226%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $13 +$2 +16%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 -7%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $18 −$2 -12%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $8 −$2 -23%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $7 −$2 -26%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $50 +$10 +20%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $15 +$3 +18%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5) Jun 13 $3 +$7 +201%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$5 +96%
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera Jun 13 $15 +$3 +24%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +119%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $2 +$4 +226%
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5) Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$3 +134%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $3 +$3 +93%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Set Handicap: Alves (-1.5) vs Zeballos (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $29 +$2 +9%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $8 −$3 -34%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $39 −$7 -18%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $7 −$2 -27%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $39 −$12 -30%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $11 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$166
other 2% $0
tech 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 27¢ $1 13m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 65¢ $5 15m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 65¢ $5 15m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 33¢ $2 20m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 53¢ $3 21m
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5) BUY Indiana Fever 52¢ $3 21m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 61¢ $3 23m
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 72¢ $4 23m
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 85¢ $4 23m
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 24¢ $1 23m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 41¢ $2 23m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 60¢ $3 23m
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) BUY Indiana Fever 44¢ $5 27m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 53¢ $3 33m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 37¢ $3 39m
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 41¢ $2 39m
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 BUY Over 45¢ $5 39m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 44¢ $2 48m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 62¢ $3 49m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 49¢ $2 51m
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 43¢ $4 59m
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Indiana Fever 50¢ $3 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 BUY Under 50¢ $3 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 BUY Under 44¢ $2 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 25¢ $3 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 39¢ $2 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 46¢ $2 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 81¢ $4 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 64¢ $6 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 49¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 362 -4.1% -13.2% 46% 39% -13.9%
≤30d 362 -4.1% -13.2% 46% 39% -13.9%
≤90d 362 -4.1% -13.2% 46% 39% -13.9%
all 362 -4.1% -13.2% 46% 39% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover505.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 39% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 31% -22.2%
15% -29.1% 24% -29.7%
20% -36.1% 21% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $102.71 · official $102.72 (match) · 1469 history records