trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -12.1% | -20.4% | 53% | 53% | -20.0% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 56% | 56% | -1.4% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -9.0% | -17.7% | 55% | 55% | -31.0% |
| all | 20 | -9.0% | -17.7% | 55% | 55% | -31.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.7% | 55% | -31.0% |
| 10% | -25.5% | 55% | -37.6% |
| 15% | -32.7% | 45% | -43.6% |
| 20% | -39.3% | 35% | -49.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 10¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+11%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | No | 33¢ | 34¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 81¢ | 80¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Norway | 59¢ | 58¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Algeria | 59¢ | 58¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +24% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +82% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5 | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +44% |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +34% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +128% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +54% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +109% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +44% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $5 | +$4 | +70% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? | May 11 | $1 | +$1 | +64% |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09? | May 09 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | May 09 | $1 | +$1 | +67% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |