trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +31.6% | +19.0% | 90% | 50% | +20.3% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +33.4% | +20.7% | 87% | 52% | +23.0% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +119.8% | +98.9% | 85% | 54% | +30.1% |
| all | 26 | +119.8% | +98.9% | 85% | 54% | +30.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +98.9% | 54% | +30.1% |
| 10% | +79.9% | 38% | +17.6% |
| 15% ← realistic here | +62.5% | 27% | +6.3% |
| 20% | +46.6% | 23% | -4.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $19,536 | $19,510 | −$26 (-0%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $21,441 | $17,850 | −$3,591 (-17%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $17,733 | $16,380 | −$1,353 (-8%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $15,881 | $16,050 | +$169 (+1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $12,888 | $10,425 | −$2,463 (-19%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 20¢ | $3,420 | $3,950 | +$530 (+15%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $3,570 | $3,525 | −$45 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $4,120 | $3,410 | −$710 (-17%) |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $3,435 | $2,486 | −$950 (-28%) |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1,799 | $1,100 | −$699 (-39%) |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $900 | $550 | −$350 (-39%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $10,018 | +$1,186 | +12% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $2,367 | +$683 | +29% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $26,711 | +$2,549 | +10% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $712 | +$88 | +12% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $6,760 | +$22 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $44,289 | +$1,875 | +4% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $9,963 | +$927 | +9% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Jun 17 | $9,600 | +$29,750 | +310% |
| Spread: Germany (-4.5) | Jun 15 | $522 | −$522 | -100% |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $927 | +$273 | +30% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $716 | +$284 | +40% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $746 | +$254 | +34% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $1,015 | +$985 | +97% |
| World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway | May 30 | $893 | +$107 | +12% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | May 30 | $9,750 | +$230 | +2% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 30 | $721 | +$79 | +11% |
| World Championships: Finland vs. Czechia | May 28 | $256 | −$256 | -100% |
| World Championships: Canada vs. USA | May 28 | $215 | −$215 | -100% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | May 26 | $4,373 | +$377 | +9% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $9,796 | +$8 | +0% |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | May 24 | $9,315 | +$685 | +7% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 23 | $446 | +$1,504 | +338% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | May 23 | $19,490 | +$20,060 | +103% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 19 | $1,050 | −$550 | -52% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | May 06 | $3,991 | +$15,946 | +400% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | May 01 | $5 | +$27,437 | +587526% |