Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa380…20a4
crypto · 564 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$79 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses345 / 219
Open positions0
Markets (closed)564 / 564
History coverage136d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 564 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$0
14 days−$2
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$79
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $0 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +0.6% -9.0% 83% 23% -9.0%
≤30d 350 -1.7% -11.1% 77% 15% -11.1%
≤90d 557 -11.6% -20.0% 61% 13% -16.3%
all 564 -11.4% -19.8% 61% 13% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.8% 13% -11.8%
10% -27.5% 3% -20.2%
15% -34.5% 3% -27.9%
20% -40.9% 3% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1049 history records