Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:27:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa37c…0020
crypto · 387 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$459 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$465 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47
Realized+$465
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses148 / 218
Open positions20
Markets (closed)366 / 387
History coverage548d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 20 History 366 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days+$296
14 days+$474
30 days+$465
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 14? No 0¢ 0¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+17%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-17%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 8-14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+25%)
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 99¢ 99¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+83%)
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No 98¢ 98¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No 98¢ 96¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 13? No 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 8-14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-75%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 12? No 0¢ 0¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-83%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13? No 0¢ 0¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-75%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on June 13? No 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? No 0¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+175%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 13? No 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-75%)
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-18%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $14 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 13? Jun 12 $4 −$2 -50%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -33%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $6 −$4 -67%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14? Jun 12 $0 $0 +90%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$3 +264%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $11 −$3 -25%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -76%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 11? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 11? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12? Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 13? Jun 11 $1 $0 +56%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -67%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 11? Jun 11 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $6 −$5 -82%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 11? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$1 -52%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? Jun 11 $6 −$2 -33%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$5 +113%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $31 +$5 +17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $11 −$1 -12%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? Jun 11 $4 −$1 -36%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +22%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $12 −$6 -50%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $4 −$2 -50%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $9 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -58%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +20%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 10? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 10? Jun 11 $4 −$1 -15%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $6 +$1 +14%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $10 −$6 -55%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $4 −$2 -50%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $4 −$1 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$15 +696%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $6 −$2 -33%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $4 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$6 +533%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$388
sports 4% $0
other 1% +$3
finance 1% +$63
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 16m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 18m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 19m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 19m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 29m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? SELL No 0¢ $0 43m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 43m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 14? BUY No 0¢ $5 44m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 45m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 45m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 45m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? SELL No 0¢ $8 46m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? SELL No 0¢ $0 46m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 48m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 51m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? BUY No 0¢ $1 57m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? BUY No 0¢ $3 58m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 58m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $6 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)+1.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 149 +6.1% -4.0% 29% 23% -1.8%
≤30d 310 +14.7% +3.8% 34% 28% +0.5%
≤90d 314 +14.5% +3.6% 35% 27% +0.4%
all 366 +12.5% +1.8% 40% 23% -1.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +1.8% 23% -1.0%
10% -8.0% 19% -10.5%
15% -16.9% 15% -19.1%
20% -25.0% 13% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47.07 · official $48.10 · 2706 history records