trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -26.7% | -33.7% | 0% | 0% | -34.6% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -12.1% | -20.5% | 29% | 29% | -21.9% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +219.4% | +189.0% | 43% | 43% | +18.8% |
| all | 30 | +156.9% | +132.5% | 33% | 33% | +8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +132.5% | 33% | +8.9% |
| 10% | +110.2% | 33% | -1.5% |
| 15% | +89.9% | 30% | -11.0% |
| 20% | +71.3% | 23% | -19.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-78%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Jun 17 | $64 | −$26 | -40% |
| o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Jun 17 | $56 | −$7 | -13% |
| Tea FDV above $40M one day after launch | May 30 | $63 | −$63 | -99% |
| Citrea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | May 27 | $18 | +$29 | +160% |
| Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | May 26 | $43 | +$3 | +6% |
| Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch? | May 26 | $26 | +$16 | +60% |
| Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? | May 26 | $49 | +$19 | +38% |
| Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch? | May 25 | $110 | +$45 | +41% |
| Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch? | May 25 | $9 | −$9 | -96% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? | May 22 | $160 | −$18 | -12% |
| Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch? | May 21 | $81 | −$46 | -57% |
| Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch? | May 20 | $55 | −$28 | -52% |
| Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch? | May 20 | $12 | −$12 | -94% |
| Nexus FDV above $500M one day after launch? | May 20 | $56 | −$18 | -32% |
| Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch? | May 20 | $22 | −$2 | -9% |
| Nexus FDV above $50M one day after launch? | May 20 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| Nexus FDV above $20M one day after launch? | May 20 | $10 | −$9 | -94% |
| Space FDV above $5M one day after launch? | Apr 30 | $277 | +$193 | +70% |
| Space FDV above $40M one day after launch? | Apr 29 | $699 | +$240 | +34% |
| Space FDV above $15M one day after launch? | Apr 29 | $810 | +$269 | +33% |
| Space FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Apr 29 | $7 | +$10 | +141% |
| Space FDV above $120M one day after launch? | Apr 25 | $2 | +$2 | +98% |
| Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Real Madrid | Mar 20 | $75 | −$28 | -37% |
| Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Olympiacos B.C. | Feb 25 | $145 | −$87 | -60% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Jan 30 | $15 | −$2 | -13% |
| Space FDV above $60M one day after launch? | Jan 23 | $80 | −$9 | -11% |
| Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Jan 22 | $56 | −$6 | -10% |
| Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Jan 22 | $36 | −$1 | -4% |
| Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Jan 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| FC Bayern Munchen vs. Saski Baskonia | Jan 07 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |