trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 44% | 11% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 44% | 11% | -9.9% |
| all | 21 | -19.9% | -27.6% | 43% | 5% | -13.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.6% | 5% | -13.7% |
| 10% | -34.5% | 0% | -22.0% |
| 15% | -40.8% | 0% | -29.5% |
| 20% | -46.6% | 0% | -36.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 17 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 26 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | May 25 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $67 | +$7 | +10% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 24 | $9 | −$4 | -45% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 24 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 23 | $46 | −$10 | -22% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 22 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 21 | $30 | +$6 | +21% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York | Jun 27 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 02 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 17 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Apr 15 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 14 | $6 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Hamas enter Israel by Friday? | Mar 20 | $7 | $0 | +4% |
| Dogecoin above $0.20 on March 14? | Mar 15 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $91000 and $93000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $87000 and $89000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on March 12? | Mar 13 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Epstein files released this week? | Mar 11 | $16 | $0 | +1% |