Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:41:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa328…4977
other · 743 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,388 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$29,432 · open −$8,407
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$737
Realized−$29,432
Unrealized−$8,407
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses4 / 89
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions491
Markets (closed)93 / 743
History coverage4d
Avg bet$165
Trades / day704.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 491 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27,284
7 days−$29,432
14 days−$29,432
30 days−$29,432
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 20¢ 69¢ $21 $74 +$53 (+247%)
Will CD Real Tomayapo vs. Club Independiente Petrolero end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 75¢ $16 $37 +$21 (+125%)
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 20¢ 13¢ $21 $14 −$7 (-35%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 21¢ $2 $13 +$11 (+488%)
Will there be exactly 6 games played during the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals? Yes 20¢ 48¢ $5 $12 +$7 (+140%)
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? Yes 3¢ 11¢ $3 $10 +$7 (+243%)
Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+26%)
Will Arvid Lindblad get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+26%)
Will Oliver Bearman get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+26%)
Will Nico Hulkenberg get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+26%)
Will Gabriel Bortoleto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+26%)
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+26%)
Will Valtteri Bottas get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $6 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 16¢ $1 $6 +$4 (+334%)
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 8¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+110%)
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27? No 100¢ 99¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? No 100¢ 99¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? No 100¢ 98¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? No 98¢ 97¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? Yes 4¢ 7¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+96%)
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27? No 98¢ 94¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? No 93¢ 92¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brann win Norway Eliteserien? No 35¢ 97¢ $2 $4 +$3 (+181%)
Will Megan Rodriguez be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? No 100¢ 100¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 12 $2,358 −$2,356 -100%
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Jun 12 $2,817 −$2,817 -100%
Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? Jun 12 $73 −$73 -99%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 12 $122 −$122 -100%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on Jun 12 $690 −$670 -97%
Will Altimont Wilks be the Democratic nominee for MD-06? Jun 12 $197 −$197 -100%
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $470 −$462 -98%
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2,584 −$2,584 -100%
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2,591 −$2,591 -100%
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2,086 −$2,085 -100%
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2,653 −$2,653 -100%
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2,596 −$2,596 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $41 −$39 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $43 −$41 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 12 $250 −$249 -100%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 12 $58 −$57 -100%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap Jun 12 $124 −$120 -97%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Jun 12 $1,763 −$1,653 -94%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on Jun 12 $200 −$196 -98%
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? Jun 12 $306 −$286 -93%
Will annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June? Jun 12 $234 −$233 -100%
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June? Jun 12 $424 −$423 -100%
Will annual inflation be 4.6% in June? Jun 12 $241 −$240 -100%
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June? Jun 12 $236 −$235 -100%
Will annual inflation be 4.5% in June? Jun 12 $299 −$298 -100%
Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June? Jun 12 $415 −$414 -100%
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June? Jun 12 $459 −$459 -100%
Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June? Jun 12 $235 −$234 -100%
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Jun 12 $36 −$33 -92%
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Will Esteban Ocon win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $69 −$69 -99%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Will Liam Lawson win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $70 −$70 -99%
Will Sergio Perez win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% −$24,416
politics 18% −$7,919
tech 11% −$1,094
economics 8% −$348
weather 4% −$597
sports 4% −$3,168
culture 1% −$251
crypto 1% −$38
world 1% −$7
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Fernando Alonso get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand SELL Yes 0¢ $0 8m
Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand SELL Yes 0¢ $0 8m
Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand SELL Yes 0¢ $0 8m
Will Lance Stroll get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri SELL Yes 0¢ $0 8m
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 31¢ $34 10m
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 87¢ $93 10m
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $104 10m
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 83¢ $88 11m
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 83¢ $88 11m
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? BUY No 73¢ $150 26m
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? BUY No 99¢ $201 26m
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? BUY No 27¢ $55 26m
Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri BUY No 100¢ $33 28m
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pr BUY No 94¢ $31 28m
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY No 67¢ $22 28m
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri BUY No 95¢ $32 28m
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand BUY No 97¢ $32 28m
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY No 94¢ $31 28m
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY No 94¢ $31 28m
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY No 56¢ $19 28m
Will Fernando Alonso get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand SELL Yes 0¢ $0 34m
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? BUY No 86¢ $11 35m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? BUY No 93¢ $12 35m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? BUY No 20¢ $2 35m
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Catalun BUY No 80¢ $7 35m
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Catalu BUY No 43¢ $4 35m
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 68¢ $6 44m
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA Wor BUY No 96¢ $8 44m
Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $8 44m
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 37¢ $3 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-92.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -91.8% -92.6% 4% 1% -98.7%
≤30d 93 -91.8% -92.6% 4% 1% -98.7%
≤90d 93 -91.8% -92.6% 4% 1% -98.7%
all 93 -91.8% -92.6% 4% 1% -98.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover704.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -92.6% 1% -98.7%
10% ← realistic here -93.3% 1% -98.8%
15% -93.9% 1% -98.9%
20% -94.5% 0% -99.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $737.26 · official $725.57 · 3500 history records