Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:31:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa30d…41af
crypto · 158 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$316 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$326 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$33
Realized+$326
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses140 / 148
Open positions1
Markets (closed)288 / 158
Avg bet$103
Trades / day3010.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 288 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$326
7 days+$326
14 days+$326
30 days+$326
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 42¢ 32¢ $43 $33 −$10 (-23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$9 +1554%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$26 +27883%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$18 -7009%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$11 -193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$56 +287267%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$8 +896%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -573%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$22 +3838%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$23 -296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +1333%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +348%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +1007%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$42 +24257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$6 +778%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$4 +1092%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$21 +16587%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +683%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$12 -227%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$6 +671%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$150
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $29 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $30 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $35 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $26 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $17 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $25 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 14m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)+280.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 288 +321.0% +280.9% 49% 30% -10.3%
≤30d 288 +321.0% +280.9% 49% 30% -10.3%
≤90d 288 +321.0% +280.9% 49% 30% -10.3%
all 288 +321.0% +280.9% 49% 30% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3010.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +280.9% 30% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here +244.4% 25% -18.9%
15% +211.1% 23% -26.8%
20% +180.6% 23% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.03 · official $50.30 · 3500 history records