Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:16:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A3
0xa30c…1b30
crypto · 271 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$216 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$233 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$233
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses130 / 141
Open positions0
Markets (closed)271 / 271
History coverage100d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 271 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days−$55
30 days−$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$4 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$3 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$4 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$4 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 06 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 06 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 06 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 06 $8 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 06 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 06 $6 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 06 $7 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 06 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 06 $8 −$7 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$166
politics 7% −$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-24.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -1.9% -11.2% 33% 33% -9.4%
≤30d 69 -24.0% -31.2% 28% 28% -34.5%
≤90d 141 -19.2% -26.9% 41% 41% -36.1%
all 271 -16.1% -24.1% 48% 45% -30.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.1% 45% -30.9%
10% -31.3% 42% -37.5%
15% -38.0% 38% -43.5%
20% -44.1% 32% -49.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1965 history records