Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa2fb…ea72
crypto · 228 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$59 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses97 / 130
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)227 / 228
History coverage9d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day45.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 227 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$25
14 days−$60
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 18¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$35 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$25 +236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$53 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $37 −$35 -95%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$32 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$11 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$42 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$7 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $32 +$127 +400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$22 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$46 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $37 −$31 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$17 +164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$17 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$8 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$12 +117%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$68
sports 3% +$19
other 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $17 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $79 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $26 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $11 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $16 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $11 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $26 20h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $53 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 166 -12.6% -20.9% 42% 41% -10.4%
≤30d 227 -11.6% -20.0% 43% 42% -11.1%
≤90d 227 -11.6% -20.0% 43% 42% -11.1%
all 227 -11.6% -20.0% 43% 42% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 42% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 38% -19.6%
15% -34.6% 36% -27.4%
20% -41.1% 33% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.12 · official $11.12 (match) · 438 history records