trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-21%) |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $27 | $0 | −$27 (-100%) |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $49 | $0 | −$49 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | Jul 30 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | Jun 15 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -100.0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| 10% | -100.0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| 15% | -100.0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| 20% | -100.0% | 0% | -100.0% |