Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:19:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa2e0…b2df
other · 5 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$120 -83%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$118 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$118
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage11d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit40%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$118
7 days−$118
14 days−$118
30 days−$118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 24¢ 18¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-23%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $99 −$99 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
tech 68% −$99
other 28% −$22
sports 4% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 29¢ $20 14h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 4¢ $10 20h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 3¢ $10 27h
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 27h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL No 0¢ $1 47h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY No 25¢ $99 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-69.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -66.0% -69.2% 33% 0% -92.2%
≤30d 3 -66.0% -69.2% 33% 0% -92.2%
≤90d 3 -66.0% -69.2% 33% 0% -92.2%
all 3 -66.0% -69.2% 33% 0% -92.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -69.2% 0% -92.2%
10% -72.2% 0% -92.9%
15% -74.8% 0% -93.6%
20% -77.3% 0% -94.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.74 · official $7.74 (match) · 7 history records