Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:55:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa2dc…f9d3
sports · 502 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,798 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,604 · open −$102
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$998
Realized−$1,604
Unrealized−$102
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses242 / 268
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$427
Open positions9
Markets (closed)510 / 502
History coverage119d
Avg bet$419
Trades / day27.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 9 History 510 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,645
7 days−$2,733
14 days−$2,862
30 days−$2,723
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 16¢ $350 $523 +$173 (+50%)
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 71¢ 43¢ $200 $120 −$80 (-40%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $100 $83 −$17 (-17%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $113 $78 −$35 (-31%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $50 $70 +$20 (+41%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $50 $57 +$7 (+14%)
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 67¢ 20¢ $167 $50 −$117 (-70%)
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $50 $12 −$38 (-75%)
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $20 $3 −$17 (-83%)
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1) Sri Lanka 77¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? Yes 71¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Casper Ruud 51¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
T20 Series Hong Kong vs Kuwait: Hong Kong, China vs Kuwait Kuwait $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Royal Challengers Bangalore 57¢ $241 $0 −$241 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 23? Yes 49¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals Rajasthan Royals 60¢ $187 $0 −$187 (-100%)
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? Yes $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08? No 84¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 26? Yes 76¢ $1,490 $0 −$1,490 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 28¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Jesper de Jong Jesper de Jong 51¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss? Delhi Capitals 53¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India India 20¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14? Yes 59¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss? Mumbai Indians 49¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 23? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 26? Jun 14 $1,490 −$1,490 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 17? Jun 14 $260 −$260 -100%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 30? Jun 14 $8 −$11 -133%
Israel military action on Yemen before June? Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19? Jun 14 $0 −$126 -101355%
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1) Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1) Jun 14 $63 −$65 -104%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025? Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3) Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13? Jun 14 $114 −$452 -395%
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? Jun 14 $6 +$7 +118%
T20 World Cup: England vs Nepal (Game 1) Jun 14 $10 −$7 -69%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan Jun 14 $216 +$6 +3%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 14 $171 +$40 +24%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $56 −$55 -99%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $52 −$51 -99%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $33 +$7 +20%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $105 +$20 +19%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $62 +$15 +24%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $119 −$14 -12%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $8 +$7 +79%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $30 +$22 +72%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies - Who wins the t Jun 11 $5 +$5 +95%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Jun 11 $95 +$4 +4%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorgan Jun 11 $8 +$12 +153%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India - Who wins the t Jun 11 $20 +$20 +96%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 11 $41 +$9 +22%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 11 $31 +$29 +96%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 11 $91 +$9 +10%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-01? Jun 11 $93 +$7 +7%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $19 $0 -0%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $274 −$6 -2%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $37 −$5 -14%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $84 −$6 -8%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $79 −$79 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $170 +$15 +9%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $52 −$51 -99%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $32 +$17 +54%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 08 $34 −$24 -71%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 07 $16 +$5 +30%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $372 −$62 -17%
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Leicestershire Jun 05 $17 −$17 -100%
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Hampshire Jun 05 $18 −$18 -100%
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Mark Lajal Jun 05 $45 −$13 -28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% +$953
other 29% −$132
world 2% +$47
crypto 1% −$9
politics 0% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan SELL India 93¢ $111 28m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan SELL India 92¢ $110 29m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY India 92¢ $80 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY India 92¢ $1 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY India 92¢ $12 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY India 91¢ $91 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY India 81¢ $16 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY India 81¢ $16 2h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Bangladesh 18¢ $6 2h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Bangladesh 28¢ $10 2h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh $1 2h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh $1 2h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh $1 2h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 98¢ $196 2h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 83¢ $83 3h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 85¢ $85 3h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 55¢ $56 10h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $52 11h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $51 19h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland SELL Scotland 96¢ $125 28h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 84¢ $13 28h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 84¢ $3 28h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 85¢ $6 28h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 86¢ $17 28h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 85¢ $6 28h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 85¢ $6 28h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 83¢ $17 28h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 83¢ $17 28h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 85¢ $17 28h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 81¢ $24 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -30.5% -37.1% 40% 30% -58.2%
≤30d 121 -26.2% -33.2% 45% 33% -23.6%
≤90d 378 -17.1% -25.0% 47% 31% -13.1%
all 510 -12.7% -21.0% 47% 29% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.0% 29% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.6% 18% -18.4%
15% -35.5% 12% -26.2%
20% -41.8% 9% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $997.59 · official $997.59 (match) · 3500 history records