Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:59:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa2d9…a15c
crypto · 808 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$138 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$103 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$103
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses407 / 401
Open positions0
Markets (closed)808 / 808
History coverage64d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day12.8
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 808 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$104
14 days+$86
30 days+$82
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$106
other 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 528 +5.4% -4.6% 52% 52% -2.8%
≤30d 733 +2.8% -7.0% 50% 50% -5.7%
≤90d 808 +3.3% -6.6% 50% 50% -5.2%
all 808 +3.3% -6.6% 50% 50% -5.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.6% 50% -5.2%
10% -15.5% 50% -14.3%
15% -23.7% 49% -22.6%
20% -31.2% 47% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1235 history records