Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:40:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa2d7…4287
crypto · 567 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$330 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$345 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized+$345
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses214 / 350
Open positions3
Markets (closed)564 / 567
History coverage3d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day926.0
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 564 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$108
7 days+$345
14 days+$345
30 days+$345
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $10 $20 +$10 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $12 $13 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 29¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$9 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$7 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$17 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$13 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$13 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$331
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $0 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 564 +1.6% -8.1% 38% 28% -7.4%
≤30d 564 +1.6% -8.1% 38% 28% -7.4%
≤90d 564 +1.6% -8.1% 38% 28% -7.4%
all 564 +1.6% -8.1% 38% 28% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover926.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 28% -7.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 19% -16.3%
15% -24.9% 13% -24.4%
20% -32.3% 8% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $46.26 · official $46.56 (match) · 3500 history records