Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:31:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa2ce…93ab
crypto · 121 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$17 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses63 / 58
Open positions0
Markets (closed)121 / 121
History coverage162d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 121 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$14 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$15
sports 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 101 -1.8% -11.2% 55% 51% -7.7%
≤30d 112 -4.4% -13.5% 54% 50% -10.2%
≤90d 118 -5.8% -14.8% 53% 48% -11.3%
all 121 -6.1% -15.0% 52% 47% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.0% 47% -11.5%
10% -23.1% 42% -20.0%
15% -30.6% 36% -27.7%
20% -37.4% 28% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 339 history records