Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T20:05:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
A2 0xa2c7…e6b6 crypto 39 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$22 (+3%) realized +$22 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate100%39W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day41.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 +3.0% -6.8% 100% 3% -6.7%
≤30d 39 +3.0% -6.8% 100% 3% -6.7%
≤90d 39 +3.0% -6.8% 100% 3% -6.7%
all 39 +3.0% -6.8% 100% 3% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover41.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.8% 3% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -15.7% 0% -15.6%
15% -23.8% 0% -23.8%
20% -31.3% 0% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses39 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage1d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day41.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 39 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 26 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 26 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 26 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 26 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 26 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 26 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $32 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $30 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $30 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $32 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $30 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 112 history records