Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:45:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa2c3…3e18
sports · 394 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$2,313 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,253 · open +$60
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$379
Realized+$2,253
Unrealized+$60
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses272 / 116
Est. fees paid−$193
Open positions6
Markets (closed)388 / 394
History coverage52d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day31.0
Drawdown9%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 6 History 388 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$166
7 days+$301
14 days+$1,256
30 days+$2,225
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 30¢ 44¢ $100 $146 +$46 (+47%)
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 77¢ $100 $137 +$37 (+37%)
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots on target No 98¢ 82¢ $37 $31 −$6 (-16%)
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots on target No 98¢ 76¢ $37 $28 −$8 (-23%)
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals + assists No 98¢ 98¢ $21 $21 +$0 (+1%)
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots on target No 97¢ 59¢ $26 $16 −$10 (-39%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $100 +$38 +38%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $51 +$101 +197%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $100 +$30 +30%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $51 +$105 +206%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $51 +$36 +70%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $200 +$10 +5%
Will Bolivia vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 +$2 +110%
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $100 −$23 -23%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $101 +$2 +2%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $100 $0 -0%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $75 $0 -0%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $114 +$1 +1%
Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $16 +$20 +125%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $50 $0 +1%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $50 +$1 +2%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $299 +$9 +3%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $100 +$2 +2%
Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? Jun 09 $7 $0 +1%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $100 +$1 +1%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $200 +$3 +2%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $147 +$25 +17%
Will Russia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $199 +$3 +1%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $250 +$2 +1%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $174 +$19 +11%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $50 +$1 +1%
Will América FC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $42 +$10 +22%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $218 +$10 +5%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $100 +$6 +6%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $517 +$30 +6%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 03 $49 +$1 +1%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 03 $49 +$23 +46%
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $5 $0 -1%
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 5.5 Jun 03 $8 $0 -4%
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 4.5 Jun 03 $29 +$4 +15%
Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5 Jun 03 $11 $0 +3%
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $110 +$6 +5%
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5 Jun 02 $64 +$1 +2%
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $197 −$19 -10%
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $15 −$15 -100%
Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $339 +$40 +12%
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 02 $42 +$12 +28%
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $199 +$3 +2%
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5 Jun 01 $50 +$2 +4%
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Jun 01 $50 −$16 -32%
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5 Jun 01 $150 +$3 +2%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 Jun 01 $271 +$109 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% +$2,254
other 10% +$40
world 2% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 98¢ $9 1h
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 97¢ $5 1h
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots on target BUY No 98¢ $32 1h
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots on target BUY No 97¢ $5 1h
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots on target BUY No 97¢ $10 1h
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots on target BUY No 97¢ $16 1h
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots on target BUY No 98¢ $32 1h
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots on target BUY No 97¢ $5 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 93¢ $100 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 17¢ $138 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 12¢ $2 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 12¢ $1 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 12¢ $1 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 12¢ $1 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 12¢ $2 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 12¢ $1 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 12¢ $1 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 12¢ $1 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 12¢ $82 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 12¢ $1 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 12¢ $1 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 12¢ $3 16h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 61¢ $130 38h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 47¢ $5 38h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 47¢ $16 38h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 47¢ $46 38h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 47¢ $2 38h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 47¢ $30 38h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $101 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)+2.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +19.7% +8.3% 85% 30% -2.6%
≤30d 249 +17.1% +5.9% 74% 28% +5.5%
≤90d 388 +13.4% +2.6% 70% 24% +4.2%
all 388 +13.4% +2.6% 70% 24% +4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.6% 24% +4.2%
10% ← realistic here -7.2% 17% -5.8%
15% -16.2% 12% -14.9%
20% -24.4% 9% -23.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $379.25 · official $379.25 (match) · 1676 history records