Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:58:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa2bc…cfad
crypto · 383 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$471 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$468 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$67
Realized−$468
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses231 / 145
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)376 / 383
History coverage68d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day17.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 7 History 376 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$6
14 days+$7
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-0%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-14%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 89¢ 92¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-28%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Corentin Moutet 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$1 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$3 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$1 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$5 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$466
other 1% +$6
world 0% −$8
sports 0% $0
finance 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $12 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $15 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $2 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $27 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -3.7% -12.9% 64% 51% -8.9%
≤30d 84 -4.3% -13.4% 64% 49% -9.4%
≤90d 376 -7.2% -16.1% 61% 49% -13.7%
all 376 -7.2% -16.1% 61% 49% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.1% 49% -13.7%
10% -24.1% 35% -22.0%
15% -31.4% 21% -29.5%
20% -38.2% 14% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66.54 · official $66.37 (match) · 1303 history records