trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 8 | -59.0% | -62.9% | 38% | 12% | -99.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -62.9% | 12% | -99.6% |
| 10% | -66.5% | 0% | -99.7% |
| 15% | -69.7% | 0% | -99.7% |
| 20% | -72.7% | 0% | -99.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | May 31 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April? | May 18 | $20 | +$3 | +14% |
| Will Trump sign 10 or more executive orders on January 22? | Jan 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | Jan 22 | $6,017 | −$6,012 | -100% |
| TikTok removed from App Store by Monday? | Jan 19 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense? | Jan 18 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? | Jan 18 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 10-17? | Jan 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |