trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 24¢ | $6 | $6 | +$0 (+7%) |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $6 | $5 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $14 | $0 | −$14 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $35 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $52 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $40 | +$41 | +102% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$21 | +669% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $221 | −$206 | -93% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +81.7% | +64.4% | 29% | 29% | -39.1% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +81.7% | +64.4% | 29% | 29% | -39.1% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +81.7% | +64.4% | 29% | 29% | -39.1% |
| all | 7 | +81.7% | +64.4% | 29% | 29% | -39.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +64.4% | 29% | -39.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +48.6% | 29% | -44.9% |
| 15% | +34.3% | 29% | -50.3% |
| 20% | +21.1% | 29% | -55.1% |