Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:15:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa295…b9df
crypto · 54 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$64 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$140 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized+$140
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses42 / 8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)50 / 54
History coverage2d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day39.7
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 1 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$140
7 days+$140
14 days+$140
30 days+$140
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 81¢ 80¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$76 +719%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$3 +16%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $6 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$13 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $7 −$3 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $10 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$13 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% +$142
other 10% $0
tech 2% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $87 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? A BUY 13¢ $11 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $44 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 7h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $14 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +72%
net ROI/market (all)+14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +26.7% +14.7% 84% 72% +14.5%
≤30d 50 +26.7% +14.7% 84% 72% +14.5%
≤90d 50 +26.7% +14.7% 84% 72% +14.5%
all 50 +26.7% +14.7% 84% 72% +14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +14.7% 72% +14.5%
10% ← realistic here +3.7% 50% +3.5%
15% -6.3% 28% -6.5%
20% -15.5% 12% -15.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.63 · official $22.44 · 124 history records