Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:46:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa27f…2e94
crypto · 196 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$17 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses119 / 77
Open positions0
Markets (closed)196 / 196
History coverage2d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day2206.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 196 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$17
14 days−$17
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $69 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $70 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $69 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $56 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $66 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 196 -4.7% -13.7% 61% 2% -9.8%
≤30d 196 -4.7% -13.7% 61% 2% -9.8%
≤90d 196 -4.7% -13.7% 61% 2% -9.8%
all 196 -4.7% -13.7% 61% 2% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2206.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 2% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 0% -18.4%
15% -29.5% 0% -26.3%
20% -36.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records