Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T04:45:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A2 0xa273…95c4 crypto 551 markets active 1d ago coverage 67d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$3 (+0%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate74%405W / 146L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day19.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$1
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$16
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +2.0% -7.7% 80% 5% -7.2%
≤30d 298 -3.3% -12.5% 77% 17% -11.0%
≤90d 551 -2.9% -12.1% 74% 34% -11.2%
all 551 -2.9% -12.1% 74% 34% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.1% 34% -11.2%
10% -20.5% 20% -19.7%
15% -28.2% 10% -27.4%
20% -35.3% 6% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
52% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.31 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

67d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses405 / 146
Open positions0
Markets (closed)551 / 551
History coverage67d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 551 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 26 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 25 $2 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 25 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 25 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 24 $3 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 23 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 20 $2 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 20 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 20 $3 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 20 $3 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $2 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 20 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 20 $2 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 20 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 20 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$1 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 20 $4 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 20 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1612 history records