Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T21:21:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A2 0xa273…176e crypto 429 markets active 2h ago coverage 69d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$3 (+0%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%420W / 8L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day6.3pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$35
14 days−$33
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% +$39
other 6% −$52
finance 5% +$8
sports 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -1.1% -10.5% 97% 0% -13.7%
≤30d 215 +1.0% -8.6% 99% 1% -9.0%
≤90d 428 +0.5% -9.1% 98% 1% -9.6%
all 428 +0.5% -9.1% 98% 1% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 1% -9.6%
10% -17.8% 0% -18.2%
15% -25.7% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$21 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

69d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses420 / 8
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)428 / 429
History coverage69d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day6.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 428 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$2 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 20 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 20 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 20 $14 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 20 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 19 $16 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 19 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 19 $16 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $14 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $49 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down on June 17? Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $16 +$1 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $14 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 21h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $16 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $16 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $0 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $0 2d
BNB Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 99¢ $10 3d
XRP Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 93¢ $50 3d
Ethereum Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 99¢ $49 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17? BUY Down 99¢ $10 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 99¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $16 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.27 · official $0.00 (match) · 2067 history records