Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa270…e6e6
crypto · 394 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6,378 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,142 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$10,142
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses190 / 295
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)485 / 394
History coverage8d
Avg bet$131
Trades / day397.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 485 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11,192
7 days−$10,572
14 days−$10,142
30 days−$10,142
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $117 $0 −$117 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $295 $0 −$295 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $310 $0 −$310 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $310 −$310 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $196 −$196 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $129 −$129 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $181 −$181 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $857 −$857 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $525 −$525 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$118 -393%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $196 −$196 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $254 −$254 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$704
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $31 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $7 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $13 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $79 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-31.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 302 -30.6% -37.2% 35% 31% -32.3%
≤30d 485 -24.0% -31.2% 39% 36% -24.6%
≤90d 485 -24.0% -31.2% 39% 36% -24.6%
all 485 -24.0% -31.2% 39% 36% -24.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover397.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.2% 36% -24.6%
10% ← realistic here -37.8% 34% -31.8%
15% -43.8% 29% -38.4%
20% -49.3% 26% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records