Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:44:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa26f…e9bf
crypto · 1041 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,321 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,321 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,321
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses730 / 637
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1367 / 1041
History coverage12d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day211.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1367 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,500
7 days−$1,518
14 days−$1,321
30 days−$1,321
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +479%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$112
politics 1% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $11 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $9 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-30.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1028 -36.3% -42.4% 48% 10% -26.2%
≤30d 1367 -23.0% -30.4% 53% 16% -19.8%
≤90d 1367 -23.0% -30.4% 53% 16% -19.8%
all 1367 -23.0% -30.4% 53% 16% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover211.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.4% 16% -19.8%
10% ← realistic here -37.0% 10% -27.5%
15% -43.1% 8% -34.5%
20% -48.7% 8% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records