Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:23:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa236…8861
sports · 120 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$4 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized+$11
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses94 / 21
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions5
Markets (closed)115 / 120
History coverage91d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 5 History 115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$19
14 days+$19
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Diane Parry 92¢ 93¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinina Anhelina Kalinina 89¢ 88¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova Elise Mertens 95¢ 64¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-32%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston Antonia Ruzic 91¢ 59¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-35%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 91¢ 23¢ $6 $2 −$5 (-75%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mp Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $9 −$7 -80%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $6 +$1 +10%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Aziz Dougaz Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $6 +$1 +11%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $6 +$1 +10%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Kaja Juvan Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady Jun 13 $6 +$1 +8%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Mimi Xu vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Elsa Jacquemot Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bondar Jun 13 $6 +$1 +8%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Arklon Del Pino Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $5 +$1 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% +$12
finance 7% −$1
weather 2% −$8
economics 1% $0
other 0% −$1
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu SELL Donna Vekic 99¢ $6 54m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Antonia Ruzic 91¢ $6 55m
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Donna Vekic 96¢ $6 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mp SELL Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 99¢ $6 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Diane Parry 92¢ $6 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz SELL Ben Shelton 99¢ $6 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Ben Shelton 94¢ $6 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mp BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 98¢ $6 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin BUY Anhelina Kalinina 89¢ $6 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell SELL Kimberly Birrell 32¢ $2 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar SELL Anna Blinkova 99¢ $6 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 90¢ $6 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 76¢ $4 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 86¢ $5 4h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano SELL Jacob Fearnley 99¢ $7 20h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron SELL Marcos Giron 99¢ $7 22h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 93¢ $6 22h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 93¢ $6 22h
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova BUY Elise Mertens 95¢ $6 22h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef SELL Celine Naef 99¢ $7 23h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 94¢ $6 23h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle SELL Jesper de Jong 99¢ $7 23h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel SELL Taro Daniel 99¢ $7 24h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton SELL Harry Wendelken 99¢ $7 24h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 90¢ $6 24h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 94¢ $6 24h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 93¢ $6 24h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo SELL Aleksandar Kovacevic 97¢ $0 25h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo SELL Aleksandar Kovacevic 97¢ $5 25h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo SELL Aleksandar Kovacevic 97¢ $1 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 94 +4.0% -5.9% 97% 18% -5.2%
≤30d 94 +4.0% -5.9% 97% 18% -5.2%
≤90d 115 -9.2% -17.8% 82% 15% -7.1%
all 115 -9.2% -17.8% 82% 15% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.8% 15% -7.1%
10% -25.7% 0% -16.0%
15% -32.9% 0% -24.1%
20% -39.4% 0% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.79 · official $20.79 (match) · 374 history records