Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:45:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A2
0xa233…ee7e
crypto · 126 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$927 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$923 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$119
Realized−$923
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses48 / 76
Est. fees paid−$39
Open positions2
Markets (closed)124 / 126
History coverage13d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day31.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 2 History 124 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$366
7 days−$366
14 days−$923
30 days−$923
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 45¢ $103 $99 −$4 (-4%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Zverev Jodar 45¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 1 Belgium? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Semen Pankin Semen Pankin 19¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Canada vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Prostejov: Viktor Durasovic vs Norbert Gombos Viktor Durasovic 47¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Khololwam Montsi Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 23¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Matteo Berrettini 20¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Pedro Martinez Pedro Martinez 35¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Birmingham: Elias Ymer vs Christopher O'Connell Christopher OConnell 35¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $83 −$78 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $73 −$70 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$18 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$55 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $67 +$73 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$80 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$65 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $90 −$85 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$60 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$66 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$129 +680%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $57 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $47 +$66 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$15 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $42 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $48 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$11 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $39 −$37 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$31 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$31 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -95%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 48% −$285
crypto 40% −$424
other 12% −$218
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +14.3% +3.5% 41% 39% -36.2%
≤30d 124 -1.4% -10.8% 39% 37% -30.6%
≤90d 124 -1.4% -10.8% 39% 37% -30.6%
all 124 -1.4% -10.8% 39% 37% -30.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 37% -30.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 36% -37.2%
15% -27.1% 35% -43.3%
20% -34.3% 31% -48.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $119.33 · official $119.33 (match) · 438 history records