trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +15.4% | +4.4% | 50% | 50% | -3.7% |
| ≤30d | 28 | +7.7% | -2.5% | 54% | 50% | -3.1% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +7.7% | -2.5% | 54% | 50% | -3.1% |
| all | 28 | +7.7% | -2.5% | 54% | 50% | -3.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.5% | 50% | -3.1% |
| 10% | -11.8% | 36% | -12.4% |
| 15% | -20.4% | 29% | -20.9% |
| 20% | -28.2% | 21% | -28.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $40 | $52 | +$13 (+31%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $47 | $45 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 | Jun 26 | $41 | +$5 | +11% |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5 | Jun 24 | $30 | −$18 | -58% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5 | Jun 23 | $81 | −$14 | -18% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 | Jun 23 | $59 | +$40 | +68% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 23 | $30 | +$28 | +93% |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 | Jun 23 | $40 | +$14 | +36% |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 | Jun 22 | $51 | −$11 | -22% |
| England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $31 | −$1 | -4% |
| England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $41 | +$52 | +128% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $35 | +$13 | +36% |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $37 | −$5 | -13% |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $20 | +$23 | +114% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $3 | +$4 | +146% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $30 | −$22 | -71% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 17 | $108 | −$15 | -14% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 | Jun 17 | $41 | −$28 | -69% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5 | Jun 17 | $30 | +$36 | +118% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5 | Jun 17 | $50 | +$14 | +28% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $50 | +$11 | +21% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $65 | +$13 | +20% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -95% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $69 | +$9 | +13% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $60 | +$19 | +31% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$3 | -27% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$6 | -63% |