Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:54:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa1d5…1343
crypto · 407 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9,033 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9,033 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$9,033
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses245 / 180
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)425 / 407
History coverage25d
Avg bet$358
Trades / day133.0
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 1 History 425 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$182
7 days+$605
14 days+$1,571
30 days+$9,033
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 88¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026? No 69¢ 0¢ $2,564 $0 −$2,564 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on June 4? Up 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$41 -1485%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4PM ET Jun 13 $102 −$95 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$142 -135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18? Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -339%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$46 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $522 −$44 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $470 +$25 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $206 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $624 +$49 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $620 +$72 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $727 +$143 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $312 +$106 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $314 −$72 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $309 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $206 +$77 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$18 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $105 +$50 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$9 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $364 −$201 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $488 +$48 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$16 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $194 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $520 +$110 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $203 +$49 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$36 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $307 −$128 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $186 −$137 -74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 41% +$6,037
finance 39% +$1,507
other 14% +$1,836
tech 3% +$259
politics 2% +$55
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $102 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $231 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $14 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $105 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $105 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $105 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $233 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $104 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $104 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $152 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $308 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $470 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $191 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $406 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $104 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 -20.7% -28.3% 50% 25% -7.2%
≤30d 425 -6.7% -15.6% 58% 36% -3.4%
≤90d 425 -6.7% -15.6% 58% 36% -3.4%
all 425 -6.7% -15.6% 58% 36% -3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover133.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 36% -3.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 26% -12.6%
15% -31.1% 17% -21.1%
20% -37.8% 11% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.09 · official $1.09 (match) · 3500 history records