trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +212.5% | +182.7% | 50% | 50% | +239.3% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -25.1% | -32.2% | 20% | 20% | +5.2% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -25.1% | -32.2% | 20% | 20% | +5.2% |
| all | 10 | -25.1% | -32.2% | 20% | 20% | +5.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.2% | 20% | +5.2% |
| 10% | -38.7% | 20% | -4.9% |
| 15% | -44.6% | 10% | -14.1% |
| 20% | -50.1% | 10% | -22.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $25 | $23 | −$2 (-7%) |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | No | 31¢ | 32¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | Jun 22 | $15 | +$79 | +525% |
| Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June | Jun 12 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | +$1 | +24% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 11 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |