Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:53:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
A1 0xa1c0…692e sports 53 markets active 1h ago coverage 68d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$29 (+2%) realized +$29 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate72%38W / 15L
Drawdown86%max
Avg bet$31per market
Trades / day2.3pace
Fees−$9est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +16.1% +5.0% 80% 20% -6.6%
≤30d 16 -27.0% -34.0% 56% 19% -13.0%
≤90d 53 -10.0% -18.5% 72% 34% -8.3%
all 53 -10.0% -18.5% 72% 34% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.5% 34% -8.3%
10% -26.3% 19% -17.1%
15% -33.4% 8% -25.1%
20% -40.0% 8% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 38% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
53% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$10 · ×0.46 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.15 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

68d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses38 / 15
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)53 / 53
History coverage68d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 53 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh Jun 17 $30 $0 +0%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka Jun 16 $23 −$2 -10%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India May 28 $15 −$15 -98%
T20 Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand May 25 $5 −$5 -98%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals May 24 $30 −$30 -99%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals May 24 $71 −$70 -99%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings May 23 $46 +$27 +59%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings May 21 $140 +$7 +5%
T20 Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand May 20 $241 +$36 +15%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians May 20 $135 +$10 +8%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants May 19 $235 +$2 +1%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - To May 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 18 $6 −$3 -54%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals May 17 $21 +$12 +54%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru May 17 $10 −$1 -13%
ODI Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand May 16 $10 +$3 +26%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 14 $35 +$8 +24%
T20 1st Innings 6 Overs Line: O/U 59.5 May 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight R May 13 $10 +$6 +62%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals May 11 $15 +$5 +30%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians May 10 $25 −$1 -5%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants May 10 $20 +$4 +21%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders May 08 $20 +$1 +8%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Banga May 07 $43 +$5 +11%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants May 04 $26 +$2 +9%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings May 03 $20 +$3 +14%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders May 03 $20 $0 +1%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 02 $32 +$4 +14%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals May 01 $20 +$4 +20%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Apr 30 $20 $0 +1%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 29 $22 +$2 +7%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 28 $20 +$2 +8%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Apr 27 $21 $0 +1%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders Apr 26 $25 +$1 +2%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 25 $19 +$2 +9%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings Apr 25 $20 +$1 +4%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans Apr 24 $15 +$4 +24%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings Apr 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals Apr 21 $39 +$2 +6%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 20 $3 −$2 -63%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Apr 20 $18 $0 +0%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings Apr 18 $2 +$1 +29%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals Apr 18 $7 +$2 +31%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Riders Apr 17 $15 +$2 +14%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings Apr 17 $14 +$1 +7%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Gi Apr 15 $13 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh SELL Australia 100¢ $30 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh BUY Australia 100¢ $25 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladesh BUY Australia 100¢ $5 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland BUY England 99¢ $30 17h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka SELL Sri Lanka 100¢ $17 20h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 89¢ $3 20h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka SELL New Zealand 31¢ $4 20h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 74¢ $10 20h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka BUY New Zealand 77¢ $5 23h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka BUY New Zealand 76¢ $5 23h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan SELL Pakistan 17¢ $9 2d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands SELL Bangladesh 99¢ $11 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 90¢ $10 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY Pakistan 9¢ $5 3d
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India BUY England 30¢ $10 19d
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India BUY England 36¢ $5 19d
T20 Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand BUY New Zealand 32¢ $5 22d
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals BUY Kolkata Knight Riders 55¢ $10 23d
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals BUY Kolkata Knight Riders 53¢ $20 23d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Mumbai Indians 46¢ $20 24d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Mumbai Indians 61¢ $51 24d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings SELL Punjab Kings 100¢ $72 24d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings BUY Punjab Kings 65¢ $25 24d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings BUY Punjab Kings 59¢ $20 24d
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings SELL Gujarat Titans 100¢ $147 26d
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings BUY Gujarat Titans 95¢ $100 26d
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings BUY Gujarat Titans 97¢ $40 26d
T20 Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand SELL England 100¢ $277 27d
T20 Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand BUY England 86¢ $100 27d
T20 Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand BUY England 89¢ $100 27d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 164 history records