trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 86% | 29% | -22.9% |
| all | 16 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 81% | 19% | -20.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.2% | 19% | -20.6% |
| 10% | -22.4% | 12% | -28.2% |
| 15% | -29.9% | 6% | -35.1% |
| 20% | -36.8% | 6% | -41.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $67 | $67 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $56 | $56 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chainlink reach $16 in May? | Jun 02 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 02 | $72 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Q | May 19 | $211 | −$210 | -100% |
| LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner | May 14 | $163 | +$47 | +29% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 23 | $162 | +$1 | +1% |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | Apr 09 | $140 | +$22 | +16% |
| Hawks vs. Magic | Apr 02 | $140 | $0 | +0% |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors | Feb 10 | $1,710 | −$1,710 | -100% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Feb 06 | $2,653 | +$49 | +2% |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season | Jan 27 | $980 | +$681 | +70% |
| LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season | Jan 26 | $997 | −$17 | -2% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 12 above $295? | Jan 17 | $996 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? | Jan 02 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 02 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $199 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $728 | +$1 | +0% |