Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:28:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa1aa…bf0f
sports · 1511 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$221 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$294 · open +$76
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$225
Realized−$294
Unrealized+$76
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses517 / 971
Est. fees paid−$77
Open positions23
Markets (closed)1488 / 1511
History coverage32d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day67.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 23 History 1488 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$0
14 days+$9
30 days−$258
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 46¢ 100¢ $66 $143 +$77 (+117%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 41¢ 100¢ $3 $8 +$5 (+144%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) MOUZ 51¢ 100¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+96%)
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) Bebop 64¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+55%)
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) FURIA 35¢ 52¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+47%)
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen (BO5) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs The Last Resort 80¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+25%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) Spirit 57¢ 58¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Leo Team 44¢ 45¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 51¢ 52¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner FURIA 56¢ 56¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 38¢ 80¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+109%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 88¢ 88¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Spirit 82¢ 81¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Spirit 78¢ 78¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 70¢ 68¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Spirit 65¢ 66¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs K27 54¢ 51¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-6%)
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) PARIVISION 68¢ 50¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-26%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 42¢ 14¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-65%)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5) XLG Gaming 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) MOUZ 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner XLG Gaming 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $161 +$6 +4%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $4 +$3 +85%
Map Handicap: HERO.A (-1.5) vs RUSTEC (+1.5) Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$3 +100%
Map Handicap: OXUJI (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Jun 13 $4 +$3 +75%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $4 +$5 +127%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$3 +85%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $4 +$5 +138%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) Jun 13 $4 +$4 +92%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$8 +344%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$9 +226%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $4 +$4 +100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $4 +$3 +79%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $6 +$2 +28%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 +$7 +165%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 +$7 +182%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 +$9 +226%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 +$11 +276%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$17 +420%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 +$3 +62%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $4 +$8 +197%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs STATE (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Jun 12 $4 +$1 +21%
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $4 +$5 +129%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% −$20
other 4% −$20
weather 3% −$138
crypto 2% −$36
tech 0% −$8
world 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY Leo Team 44¢ $4 1h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5) BUY XLG Gaming 57¢ $2 1h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5) BUY XLG Gaming 56¢ $2 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 32¢ $2 1h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY FURIA 35¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 SELL RUSTEC 100¢ $7 2h
Map Handicap: HERO.A (-1.5) vs RUSTEC (+1.5) SELL RUSTEC 100¢ $5 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $67 2h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY K27 54¢ $4 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 73¢ $15 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 87¢ $35 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 13¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 82¢ $2 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $167 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 82¢ $2 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 94¢ $148 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 94¢ $9 3h
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5) BUY Bebop 64¢ $4 4h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 48¢ $4 5h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 47¢ $4 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 29¢ $3 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 50¢ $3 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 32¢ $2 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 65¢ $5 8h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 50¢ $3 8h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 22¢ $2 8h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 30¢ $3 12h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group BUY Washed 90¢ $4 15h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 53¢ $4 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-23.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 +5.3% -4.7% 53% 51% -9.5%
≤30d 1161 -18.1% -25.9% 36% 35% -13.9%
≤90d 1488 -15.7% -23.8% 35% 34% -13.9%
all 1488 -15.7% -23.8% 35% 34% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.8% 34% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -31.1% 32% -22.2%
15% -37.7% 29% -29.7%
20% -43.8% 24% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $224.86 · official $224.86 (match) · 3500 history records