Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:46:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A1 0xa192…4ec3 crypto 923 markets active 0h ago coverage 43d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (61 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$11 (+0%) realized +$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate78%721W / 202L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day61.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days−$14
14 days−$25
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$174
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (61 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 -0.1% -9.6% 84% 35% -9.8%
≤30d 797 -0.4% -9.9% 80% 33% -9.5%
≤90d 923 -1.0% -10.4% 78% 37% -10.3%
all 923 -1.0% -10.4% 78% 37% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover61.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 37% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 13% -18.8%
15% -26.8% 5% -26.7%
20% -34.0% 1% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
47% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$10 · ×0.26 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

43d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses721 / 202
Open positions0
Markets (closed)923 / 923
History coverage43d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day61.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 923 Trades
no open positions (38 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $31 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $31 +$3 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $31 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $30 +$3 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $32 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $31 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $31 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $31 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $31 +$2 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$2 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $31 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $30 +$2 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $29 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $31 +$3 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $31 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $31 +$4 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$27 -89%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$3 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$3 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$2 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$2 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$2 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$2 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $33 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $31 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $31 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $33 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $33 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $30 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $33 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $31 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $0 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $15 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $9 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2698 history records