Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:57:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa17b…95cb
crypto · 111 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$723 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$721 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$83
Realized+$721
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses55 / 44
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions12
Markets (closed)99 / 111
History coverage10d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day31.7
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 12 History 99 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$782
7 days+$766
14 days+$721
30 days+$721
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $12 $13 +$1 (+5%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 51¢ 54¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+5%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 85¢ 84¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+6%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+8%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 62¢ 81¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade Andres Andrade 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$17 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $96 −$19 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$21 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $126 +$23 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$25 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$14 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$15 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $236 +$19 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$7 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$26 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$17 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$10 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$7 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$56 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$9 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$13 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$40 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$17 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$26 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$12 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$31 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$8 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$88 +169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$15 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$746
other 2% +$6
sports 1% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $88 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $149 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $62 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 95 -3.3% -12.5% 57% 48% +4.2%
≤30d 99 -5.6% -14.6% 56% 47% +3.2%
≤90d 99 -5.6% -14.6% 56% 47% +3.2%
all 99 -5.6% -14.6% 56% 47% +3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 47% +3.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 42% -6.7%
15% -30.2% 35% -15.7%
20% -37.1% 27% -24.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $82.79 · official $82.80 (match) · 396 history records