trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -61.3% | -65.0% | 29% | 29% | -77.6% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -43.6% | -49.0% | 36% | 36% | -76.5% |
| all | 74 | -16.6% | -24.5% | 46% | 45% | -54.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.5% | 45% | -54.8% |
| 10% | -31.7% | 45% | -59.1% |
| 15% | -38.3% | 41% | -63.1% |
| 20% | -44.4% | 36% | -66.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | No | 35¢ | 34¢ | $287 | $282 | −$4 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $296 | −$291 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $226 | −$223 | -99% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $259 | −$253 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $316 | −$314 | -99% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $258 | +$75 | +29% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $13 | +$6 | +42% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $70 | −$68 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 16 | $21 | −$21 | -99% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | May 16 | $11 | +$9 | +83% |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06? | Apr 12 | $12 | +$8 | +67% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-03-31? | Mar 31 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Hornets | Mar 19 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Miami Open: Solana Sierra vs Jaqueline Cristian | Mar 19 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Magic vs. Bucks | Mar 08 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-26? | Mar 08 | $33 | +$91 | +270% |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19? | Feb 26 | $40 | +$30 | +75% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13? | Feb 13 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Jets vs. Devils | Jan 27 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Jan 18 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 18 | $100 | −$50 | -50% |
| Flyers vs. Sabres | Jan 17 | $25 | +$20 | +79% |
| Senators vs. Utah | Jan 07 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Mariners vs. Blue Jays | Jan 07 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Valencia win on 2025-09-30? | Jan 07 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Jan 07 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26? | Jan 07 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Avalanche vs. Predators | Jan 07 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Rangers | Jan 07 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Clemson vs. Louisville | Jan 07 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Bruins vs. Ducks | Nov 26 | $26 | +$16 | +61% |
| Canadiens vs. Devils | Nov 14 | $12 | +$8 | +70% |
| Timberwolves vs. Hornets | Nov 06 | $19 | +$12 | +61% |
| Sharks vs. Utah | Oct 31 | $15 | +$7 | +43% |
| Timberwolves vs. Knicks | Oct 12 | $9 | +$5 | +61% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 30 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 30 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Dodgers vs. Pirates | Sep 30 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21? | Sep 27 | $12 | +$4 | +30% |
| Sam Houston vs. Hawai'i | Sep 15 | $9 | +$4 | +41% |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers | Sep 02 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Athletics | Sep 02 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Braves vs. Phillies | Sep 02 | $11 | +$6 | +56% |
| Reds vs. Angels | Aug 29 | $11 | +$9 | +75% |
| Cubs vs. Blue Jays | Aug 19 | $11 | +$10 | +85% |
| Guardians vs. White Sox | Aug 12 | $14 | +$12 | +82% |
| Brewers vs. Mariners | Aug 03 | $9 | +$8 | +85% |
| Blue Jays vs. White Sox | Jul 17 | $10 | +$6 | +54% |
| Brewers vs. Mets | Jul 08 | $9 | +$6 | +70% |
| Twins vs. Tigers | Jul 03 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Twins vs. Reds | Jul 03 | $10 | +$8 | +82% |