Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:14:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa164…b4b4
crypto · 1793 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$513 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$503 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized−$503
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1621 / 245
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1866 / 1793
History coverage14d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day130.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1866 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$468
7 days−$391
14 days−$485
30 days−$503
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $16 $24 +$8 (+48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 91¢ 72¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-20%)
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Yes 43¢ 5¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 80¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$35
other 0% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1000 -6.9% -15.7% 85% 23% -15.8%
≤30d 1866 -4.7% -13.8% 87% 22% -13.8%
≤90d 1866 -4.7% -13.8% 87% 22% -13.8%
all 1866 -4.7% -13.8% 87% 22% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover130.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 22% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 11% -22.1%
15% -29.6% 6% -29.6%
20% -36.5% 1% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.02 · official $40.55 · 3500 history records