Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:55:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa140…6ef5
sports · 287 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$4 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$90
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses98 / 167
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions22
Markets (closed)265 / 287
History coverage767d
Avg bet$134
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 22 History 265 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$23
14 days+$50
30 days+$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No 9¢ 18¢ $5 $9 +$5 (+97%)
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes 40¢ 50¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+24%)
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No 29¢ 20¢ $9 $7 −$3 (-30%)
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? Yes 36¢ 36¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-3%)
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 79¢ 82¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? No 71¢ 72¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 80¢ 76¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-4%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 66¢ 60¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-8%)
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No 76¢ 78¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? Yes 35¢ 47¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+35%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 22¢ 19¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-14%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 64¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? No 35¢ 21¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-41%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes 73¢ 61¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-16%)
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? Yes 65¢ 60¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? No 96¢ 97¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? No 69¢ 64¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 20¢ 55¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+181%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? Yes 11¢ 16¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+52%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $6 +$7 +108%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +140%
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 Jun 13 $6 +$10 +176%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? Jun 13 $3 $0 -16%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $6 +$1 +22%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $19 −$2 -10%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $6 +$3 +52%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $5 +$2 +40%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $6 +$2 +29%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$1 -46%
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Jun 11 $4 +$2 +39%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $6 +$1 +25%
Israel closes its airspace by June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 10 $12 −$2 -14%
Will David Flippo be the Republican nominee for NV-02? Jun 10 $8 −$8 -98%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 09 $48 −$1 -3%
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? Jun 09 $6 +$3 +47%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? Jun 09 $6 −$1 -19%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5 Jun 09 $4 +$6 +144%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $3 +$2 +62%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 8? Jun 08 $6 −$5 -97%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $3 +$2 +50%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -94%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 07 $5 +$2 +44%
Iran closes its airspace by July 15? Jun 07 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $6 +$5 +78%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 173.5 Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -65%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 +$1 +25%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Will BetBoom Team win BLAST Slam VII? Jun 07 $6 +$1 +23%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $3 +$2 +57%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 06 $1 +$1 +86%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $0 $0 -97%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $12 −$2 -14%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 05 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 41% +$55
other 22% −$9
politics 19% −$25
culture 7% −$4
economics 5% $0
crypto 3% −$6
tech 2% +$2
world 1% +$6
finance 0% −$22
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 96¢ $1 21m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $3 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $2 3h
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? SELL No 59¢ $1 4h
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? BUY No 18¢ $1 6h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 SELL Yes 66¢ $2 7h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 SELL Yes 62¢ $1 7h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 SELL Yes 68¢ $14 7h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 65¢ $3 7h
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? BUY No 72¢ $2 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 86¢ $2 7h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 24¢ $4 7h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? BUY Yes 73¢ $4 8h
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? BUY No 70¢ $4 8h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 64¢ $3 8h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 69¢ $3 8h
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? SELL No 98¢ $3 9h
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? SELL No 98¢ $5 9h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $2 9h
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? SELL No 48¢ $3 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $1 10h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $1 10h
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? BUY No 57¢ $3 10h
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? BUY No 56¢ $0 10h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 41¢ $1 10h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 60¢ $9 10h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 19¢ $3 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +17.9% +6.6% 57% 52% -1.4%
≤30d 59 +14.5% +3.6% 53% 47% +5.0%
≤90d 65 +15.0% +4.1% 52% 48% +2.2%
all 265 +3.1% -6.7% 37% 32% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.7% 32% -9.5%
10% -15.6% 31% -18.2%
15% -23.8% 23% -26.1%
20% -31.2% 18% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $89.98 · official $89.83 (match) · 720 history records