Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:07:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A1 0xa12c…44db crypto 830 markets active 0h ago coverage 59d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$17 (+1%) realized +$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate97%800W / 29L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day14.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$4now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$3
14 days+$8
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 +0.9% -8.7% 98% 1% -8.7%
≤30d 539 +0.9% -8.7% 98% 1% -8.7%
≤90d 829 +0.0% -9.5% 97% 2% -9.5%
all 829 +0.0% -9.5% 97% 2% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 2% -9.5%
10% -18.2% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

59d coverage
Net worth$4
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses800 / 29
Open positions1
Markets (closed)829 / 830
History coverage59d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day14.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 829 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 14 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -66%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.08 · official $4.08 (match) · 1642 history records