Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:12:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa11a…21c0
crypto · 81 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$387 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$435 · open +$48
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$295
Realized−$435
Unrealized+$48
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses35 / 44
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions2
Markets (closed)79 / 81
History coverage26d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day4.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 79 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$347
7 days−$441
14 days−$441
30 days−$435
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Jaume Munar Tommy Paul 51¢ 50¢ $221 $219 −$2 (-1%)
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas Besiktas 34¢ 100¢ $26 $76 +$50 (+192%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 26¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Anastasia Zakharova 67¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 56¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Adrian Mannarino 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Michael Zheng 42¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 44¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage Atreides 47¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B PCIFIC 30¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 64¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Jun 13 $186 +$65 +35%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $141 −$140 -99%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $119 +$22 +18%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 12 $46 −$45 -98%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $18 −$18 -98%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $132 −$130 -99%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $92 −$91 -99%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $36 −$35 -98%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 10 $101 +$19 +19%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $89 −$87 -98%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $82 +$34 +41%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 09 $104 −$102 -98%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 08 $101 +$84 +83%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $101 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 22 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 22 $15 +$3 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET May 22 $15 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 22 $11 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET May 22 $11 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET May 22 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET May 22 $5 +$4 +73%
BNB Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET May 22 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 21 $25 +$5 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 21 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 21 $25 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 21 $25 +$6 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 87°F or below on May 21? May 20 $97 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 20 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 20 $17 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 20 $23 +$7 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 20 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 20 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 20 $8 +$8 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET May 20 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 20 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET May 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 20 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 20 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET May 20 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET May 20 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET May 20 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 20 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? May 19 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET May 19 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET May 19 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET May 19 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% −$393
crypto 20% +$10
weather 4% −$5
other 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Jaume Munar BUY Tommy Paul 51¢ $224 22m
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas BUY Besiktas 34¢ $27 1h
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti SELL Roberto Carballes Baena 89¢ $251 1h
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 65¢ $186 1h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Adrian Mannarino 8¢ $10 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova BUY Anastasia Zakharova 67¢ $141 7h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 84¢ $119 8h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 26¢ $46 26h
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 44¢ $18 29h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 56¢ $132 30h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 64¢ $92 37h
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 30¢ $36 3d
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate SELL Carlos Maria Zarate 99¢ $119 3d
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 83¢ $101 3d
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng BUY Michael Zheng 42¢ $89 3d
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally SELL Caty McNally 100¢ $116 3d
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally BUY Caty McNally 70¢ $82 4d
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group BUY Atreides 47¢ $104 4d
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian BUY Jaqueline Cristian 54¢ $101 5d
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage SELL Verdant 49¢ $95 5d
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage BUY Verdant 51¢ $101 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $15 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $15 21d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $15 22d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $15 22d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $11 22d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $11 22d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 22d
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 22d
BNB Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 22d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-23.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -47.3% -52.4% 33% 33% -39.1%
≤30d 79 -15.9% -23.9% 44% 33% -30.2%
≤90d 79 -15.9% -23.9% 44% 33% -30.2%
all 79 -15.9% -23.9% 44% 33% -30.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.9% 33% -30.2%
10% -31.2% 23% -36.9%
15% -37.9% 20% -43.0%
20% -44.0% 18% -48.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $294.83 · official $294.83 (match) · 196 history records