Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:06:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa119…0646
sports · 8 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$21 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$22
Realized−$4
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses2 / 3
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)5 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs XLG Gaming 47¢ 40¢ $25 $22 −$3 (-14%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 46¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+117%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner XLG Gaming $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 42¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Team WE $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 23¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Team Heretics Academy $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $58 +$8 +14%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $16 −$6 -37%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 −$5 -61%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $57 +$2 +4%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 47¢ $25 10m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL XLG Gaming 99¢ $50 23m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 95¢ $48 27m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL XLG Gaming 81¢ $16 31m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 49¢ $10 38m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY XLG Gaming $2 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner SELL XLG Gaming 11¢ $1 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 20¢ $2 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 Esports 84¢ $23 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Esports 72¢ $20 2h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy $10 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports $1 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 34¢ $5 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 65¢ $9 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $7 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 42¢ $5 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 43¢ $3 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 42¢ $3 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 23¢ $6 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 12¢ $3 3h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $59 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $57 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE $1 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 35¢ $3 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-60.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -56.1% -60.3% 40% 20% -12.6%
≤30d 5 -56.1% -60.3% 40% 20% -12.6%
≤90d 5 -56.1% -60.3% 40% 20% -12.6%
all 5 -56.1% -60.3% 40% 20% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -60.3% 20% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -64.1% 0% -21.0%
15% -67.6% 0% -28.6%
20% -70.7% 0% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.88 · official $22.06 (match) · 24 history records