Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:27:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa117…bd0e
crypto · 10 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses4 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day25.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$8 +190%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-26.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -18.5% -26.2% 40% 40% -24.9%
≤30d 10 -18.5% -26.2% 40% 40% -24.9%
≤90d 10 -18.5% -26.2% 40% 40% -24.9%
all 10 -18.5% -26.2% 40% 40% -24.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.2% 40% -24.9%
10% ← realistic here -33.3% 40% -32.1%
15% -39.7% 40% -38.7%
20% -45.7% 30% -44.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 28 history records