Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:12:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa113…0038
sports · 9 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$12 +34%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 8 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ 58¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 54¢ 54¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Over 74¢ 74¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Yes 50¢ 48¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over 81¢ 80¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 Over 76¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $12 +$12 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% +$12
crypto 6% $0
other 6% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 54¢ $4 48m
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 76¢ $2 49m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 53¢ $2 49m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $2 51m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $3 51m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $3 51m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 81¢ $2 52m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $4 52m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $2 53m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $24 54m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $12 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+85.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +104.9% +85.3% 100% 100% +85.3%
≤30d 1 +104.9% +85.3% 100% 100% +85.3%
≤90d 1 +104.9% +85.3% 100% 100% +85.3%
all 1 +104.9% +85.3% 100% 100% +85.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +85.3% 100% +85.3%
10% +67.6% 100% +67.6%
15% +51.4% 100% +51.4%
20% +36.6% 100% +36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.16 · official $23.16 (match) · 11 history records