Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:48:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A1
0xa10d…8965
crypto · 47 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$40 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$40 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$40
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses20 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 47
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day465.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$40
14 days−$40
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$2 -6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$2 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$4 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$4 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -11%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$2 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$2 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$3 -21%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$3 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$1 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$2 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$2 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$6 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$4 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$5 -29%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$9 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +58%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $13 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -3.2% -12.4% 43% 26% -15.4%
≤30d 47 -3.2% -12.4% 43% 26% -15.4%
≤90d 47 -3.2% -12.4% 43% 26% -15.4%
all 47 -3.2% -12.4% 43% 26% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover465.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 26% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 15% -23.5%
15% -28.5% 11% -30.9%
20% -35.5% 4% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 470 history records